Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 48 · v1

Severe Weather near Ames

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 14:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 56 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 3 July 2026. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 4 at 3:15AM CDT until July 4 at 9:15AM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA

Urban PEI: 516,424 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

5 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.91/1
Coordinates41.9791, -93.7141
Nearest CityAmes (10 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)516.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-04T08:15:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.696cfeac0e66e3ccf629b8ddc9d5109b

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-04T08:15:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-04T08:29:25.337Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescCalhoun, IA; Carroll, IA; Greene, IA; Sac, IA; Boone, IA; Dallas, IA; Hamilton, IA; Jasper, IA; Polk, IA; Story, IA; Webster, IA; Jasper, IA; Marshall, IA; Story, IA and 1 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 4 at 3:15AM CDT until July 4 at 9:15AM CDT by NWS Des Moines IA
Expires2026-07-04T09:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Des Moines IA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.696cfeac0e66e3ccf629b8ddc9d5109be3819d62.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0b4e18747568d9482484af19420101e4ef6ec04.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e59fa4312c108154fbdd3a67f7c142f42b78ac76.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d41def2dbeabef970fe908b178e7cdb86eb8bf25.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryF
Iem CityNevada
Iem CountyStory
Iem StateIA
Iem WfoDMX
Iem RemarkVehicle stranded in a couple feet of water. Flash flooding observed in spots that are not known to flood in the area.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_41.540_-93.660_1783149540000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783149540000,"latitude":41.54,"longitude":-93.66},{"id":"iem_G_41.540_-93.660_1783149180000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783149180000,"latitude":41.54,"longitude":-93.66},{"id":"iem_G_41.510_-93.510_1783149000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783149000000,"latitude":41.51,"longitude":-93.51},{"id":"iem_F_42.020_-93.450_1783146000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783146000000,"latitude":42.02,"longitude":-93.45}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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